PropertyValue
?:abstract
  • Since Dec 2019, China has experienced an outbreak caused by a novel coronavirus, 2019-nCoV. A travel ban was implemented for Wuhan, Hubei on Jan 23 to slow down the outbreak. We found a significant positive correlation between population influx from Wuhan and confirmed cases in other cities across China (R(2) = 0.85, P < 0.001), especially cities in Hubei (R(2) = 0.88, P < 0.001). Removing the travel restriction would have increased 118% (91%–172%) of the overall cases for the coming week, and a travel ban taken three days or a week earlier would have reduced 47% (26%–58%) and 83% (78%–89%) of the early cases. We would expect a 61% (48%–92%) increase of overall cumulative cases without any restrictions on returning residents, and 11% (8%–16%) increase if the travel ban stays in place for Hubei. Cities from Yangtze River Delta, Pearl River Delta, and Capital Economic Circle regions are at higher risk.
?:creator
?:doi
  • 10.1080/22221751.2020.1760143
?:doi
?:journal
  • Emerg_Microbes_Infect
?:license
  • cc-by
?:pdf_json_files
  • document_parses/pdf_json/1316f673038e796e6c5ec8880bd38342325e65d1.json
?:pmc_json_files
  • document_parses/pmc_json/PMC7269026.xml.json
?:pmcid
?:pmid
?:pmid
  • 32321369.0
?:publication_isRelatedTo_Disease
?:sha_id
?:source
  • Medline; PMC
?:title
  • Impact of population movement on the spread of 2019-nCoV in China
?:type
?:year
  • 2020-05-18

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