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Sheila Bird, former programme leader at the MRC Biostatistics Unit at the University of Cambridge and a member of the Royal Statistical Society’s covid-19 taskforce, said, “There’s no let-up yet in the rate of increase in England’s covid-19 deaths ” “The bad news is that the rate has not started to abate we need to moderate down the rate of increase over the coming weeks, and the sooner the better, by changing our close contact patterns in England, as Scotland’s central belt did from 13 October for two weeks, and Wales did [on 19 October] ” Back in May the ONS reported that deaths from covid-19 accounted for only half of the excess deaths taking place in private homes 2 The Nuffield Trust reported this week that deaths registered from the week ending 13 March through to 9 October were 40% higher than the five year average in private homes and care homes and were 4% higher in hospitals 3 Commenting on the figures, Sarah Scobie, deputy director of research at the Nuffield Trust, said, “We have now seen an additional 29 000 deaths at home since March
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