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To mitigate more casualties from the COVID-19 outbreak, this study assessed optimal vaccination scenarios, considering some existing healthcare conditions and some assumptions, by developing SIQRD (Susceptible-Infected-Quarantine-Recovery-Death) models for Jakarta, West Java, and Banten, in Indonesia. The models included an age-structured dynamic transmission model that naturally could give different treatments among age groups of population. The simulation results show that the timing and period\'s length of the vaccination should be well planned and prioritizing particular age groups will give significant impact on the total number of casualties.
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?:doi
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10.1101/2020.12.21.20248241
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document_parses/pdf_json/618837dce903e020ac79e7869478a54a5789f1eb.json
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Mathematical Models for Assessing Vaccination Scenarios in Several Provinces in Indonesia
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