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How effective are restrictions on mobility in limiting COVID-19 spread? Using zip code data across five U.S. cities, we estimate that total cases per capita decrease by 20% for every ten percentage point fall in mobility. Addressing endogeneity concerns, we instrument for travel by residential teleworkable and essential shares and find a 27% decline in cases per capita. Using panel data for NYC with week and zip code fixed effects, we estimate a decline of 17%. We find substantial spatial and temporal heterogeneity; east coast cities have stronger effects, with the largest for NYC in the pandemic’s early stages.
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?:doi
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?:doi
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10.1016/j.jue.2020.103292
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document_parses/pdf_json/1a8f624c7e694316c46c5615c6630bc5770bcbbd.json
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document_parses/pmc_json/PMC7577256.xml.json
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?:title
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JUE Insight: How Much does COVID-19 Increase with Mobility? Evidence from New York and Four Other U.S. Cities
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